Quantus Insights
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We were disappointed, and honestly, angry over our New Jersey polling.
Our first September Labor Day poll showed Sherrill +10.
By late September, after debates, campaign controversies, and the Kirk assassination, everything changed. The race tightened fast.
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NJ Map Guy
@nnjpolitics
Belleville, New Jersey (50% Hispanic)
(Mayor endorsed Jack)
🔵Mikie Sherrill - 6,280 - 62.6%
🔴Jack Ciattarelli - 3,700 - 36.9%
2016: Clinton +25
2020: Biden +13
2024: Harris +4
2025: Sherrill +26
4:07 PM · Nov 6, 2025
But wait until you hear this: Right Angle News Network points to some eyebrow-raising numbers out of the race. Somehow, from 2021 to 2025, the state’s number of voters in the gubernatorial election jumped 500,000 — over twice the pace of population growth — and virtually all of those new votes went Democrat, even though Republicans have had the advantage in new voter registrations. It’s the kind of “coincidence” that’s starting to look a lot less like chance and a lot more like something worth investigating. //
It certainly raises some eyebrows. The polling was off by double digits, the turnout surge defied demographic trends, and the lack of voter ID requirements combined with lax enforcement of mail-in ballot rules created an environment ripe for abuse. Whether you call it irregularities, anomalies, or something more sinister, the New Jersey results deserve a closer look. Republicans got shellacked in a race that everyone believed was more competitive.
Something happened in New Jersey, and until someone can explain where half a million Democratic voters came from and why every pollster in the country got it so spectacularly wrong, the questions aren't going away.
