438 private links
China is, to be sure, a nation with big ambitions. They want a big, ocean-spanning navy like a wolf wants a sheep, and they seem to be determined to get one. But they are going to have to step up their game. The country has been beset by quality problems in everything from shipbuilding to buildings to electric scooters, cars, and cell phones. Until they figure out their quality problems and learn to develop tech of their own that is on a par with Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and the United States, we will continue to see incidents like this laughable failure of their vaunted new killer submarine - that sank alongside the pier. //
anon-6879
6 hours ago
As a retired Navy O-6, I would say Ward needs to get his stuff a little more together. (1) The picture in the article is of a ballistic missile sub, not an attack boat. (2) The attack sub was under construction, which means it sank while in the hands of the shipyard, probably without navy crew. Industrial accidents occur---we've had some bad ones when ships were in the yard, including fires and floodings. In the early '60's the attack carrier Constellation had a major fire while under construction which delayed its completion for more than a year. Did that man we didn't have an effective navy at the time? (3) The Chinese navy is much more than a "frigate navy." Their first supercarrier is at sea, and that gives them three afloat, with one carrier recently at sea in the South China Sea and off the Philippines with it's battlegroup. (Admittedly, they have a lot to learn about carrier ops.) However, they're projected to have five or six carriers by the end of the decade. That's as many as we have in Pacific. The Type 55 cruiser or destroyer leader (depending on how you classify it) is being built in numbers (Eight active, eight building.) Meanwhile, we're decommissioning our 30+ year old Ticonderoga Aegis cruisers without replacement. Their Type 52D missile destroyer is quite comparable to our Burke Class or the British Type 45 in size and capability; it's been built in numbers (25 active) and production continues. (4) The USN would love to have some frigates---we're struggling to build the new Constellation Class after the fiasco of the Littoral Combat Ships which were supposed to replace our once robust---now non-existent---frigate force. (5) The Chinese do have a good replenishment capability---their task groups operate in the Indian Ocean, the South Atlantic, and the North Pacific with replenishment ships in company. They're also acquiring foreign ports for use by their deployed squadrons. (Meanwhile, our carrier strike group in the mid-east is without a replenishment oiler because it went aground and is out of service while the navy is struggling to get a replacement on scene.) Our replenishment capability is a mere shadow of what it was in the cold war due to "Peace Dividend" budget cuts in last three decades. (6) In any fast developing conflict over Taiwan or dispute of the South China Sea, China would have home court advantage and a massive advantage in numbers over what our 7th Fleet could muster. The truth is, in the last three decades the Chines navy has made massive strides in numbers, the quality of it's equipment and its operational expertise at sea. Meanwhile, the USN is undeniability in decline: our numbers are diminishing and in recent years we've had a rash of collisions and groundings not to mention poor material readiness of our ships due to industrial maintenance deficiencies. In summary, we underestimate the PLAN at our peril.