rhhardin | July 21, 2025 at 6:23 pm
The Fed matches the number of dollars circulating to what the economy can do at once, so that the dollars don’t bid up the price of stuff that’s more than the economy can do at once, or have parts of it fall idle for lack of bidding dollars.
It does this by creating or destroying dollars.
It creates or destroys dollars by selling stuff it has (e.g. bonds) at a greater rate, or buying back stuff with newly created dollars (buying back debt, e.g.).
What regulates this selling or buying back is the target interest rate. They change this target rate in monthly meetings according to leading indicators of inflation. If inflation looks rising, it sells more debt and burns the dollars it gets. You can’t spend debt so that restricts bidding for goods and services. If inflation looks falling, it buys back more debt with newly printed dollars so there can be more bidding on goods and services. In between setting new targets, whether the market short term interest rate is above or below the target tells the fed to buy or sell more to hold the interest rate at the target.
Something gold can’t do for you.
What most people don’t understand, I think, is that money is not wealth. It is to an individual, but not to a country. Money is a ticket in line to say what the economy does next, presumably something for you. The Fed creates and destroys tickets to match what the economy can do at once.
There’s no increase or decrease in wealth, anybody’s wealth.
Maybe that takes some of the sinister magic out of it. //
rhhardin in reply to CommoChief. | July 21, 2025 at 8:36 pm
If productivity goes up 10% as well, then your $100 buys exactly what it did before. LIkewise is money velocity declines by 10%. Stuff changes and the Fed responds to keep the value of the dollar constant. Actually 2% inflation is the target because that adds stability to the economic system against sudden failures. //
Milhouse in reply to CommoChief. | July 22, 2025 at 3:03 am
Chief, the problem with a gold standard is that the gold supply grows at random, at rates that have no connection with the need for an expanded money supply. The gold supply grows and shrinks as new mines are discovered and old ones play out. If you suddenly have a huge influx from newly opened mines, you get inflation; even hyperinflation, as Europe experienced when the gold from the New World started flowing in. And if production has a major spurt, and the gold supply doesn’t increase enough to match it, then you have deflation, which is even worse than inflation; no one wants to invest money in anything, because they’re better off just sticking it in a vault and letting it appreciate on its own.
The idea of the Fed is to control the money supply and make it grow at the same rate as production does, or as close to it as possible. Now at times the Fed has failed to do this, but at least when it’s doing its job properly we can expect good results, whereas with gold it’s always up to pure chance. //
Milhouse in reply to destroycommunism. | July 22, 2025 at 2:57 am
Money doesn’t need to be “backed” by anything. It’s a medium of exchange in itself, and its value comes entirely from the fact that people are willing to accept it in exchange, confident that other people will be equally willing in turn. And they get that confidence from the fact that the IRS guarantees it will accept it, so if worse comes to worst you can use it to pay your taxes, and also from the fact that it’s legal tender, so you can discharge private debts with it whether your creditor likes it or not.
The idea that the government must be willing to sell you gold for dollars, at a fixed price, is obsolete and stupid. It reflects a mindset stuck in the olden days when gold was money and dollars weren’t themselves money but merely represented money. It’s the opposite now; dollars are money, and gold is merely a commodity, exactly like diamonds or wool. //
Milhouse in reply to rhhardin. | July 21, 2025 at 8:30 pm
What most people don’t understand, I think, is that money is not wealth. It is to an individual, but not to a country.
As Smith taught us 250 years ago! The Wealth of Nations should be required reading before anyone comments on economics in any way.
Smith destroyed the “gold equals wealth” myth by pointing out that Spain was flush with gold, but was a very poor country. Beggars had gold plates but nothing to eat off them. Whereas Poland had very little gold, but was a very rich country. Therefore the quantity of gold in a country could not be a measure of its wealth.
